Commerce Sec. Howard Lutnick claims Canada abandoned the trade deal with the U.S. for political reasons.
Related market
11%
The news directly impacts the likelihood of a US-Canada trade deal, which is the focus of the market.
CTV News·2d agoPrime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir voted Saturday in Iceland's referendum on resuming EU membership talks. The tight race comes 13 years after Iceland paused its previous EU accession negotiations.
Related market
2%
mentions Iceland and Iceland’s Prime Minister, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-08-29
Al Jazeera English·18h ago5 outletsDR Congo has begun vaccinating against its largest and deadliest Ebola outbreak, which has killed 2,786 of 5,795 confirmed cases since May. The vaccine is not proven effective against the Bundibugyo strain driving the outbreak.
Related market
4%
News of Ebola vaccination in DR Congo directly bears on pandemic risk in 2026.
Al Jazeera English·21h ago3 outletsEl autor del segundo gol del Atlético de Madrid en el partido contra el Sevilla fue destacado en el video de LaLiga. El video muestra el gol y los momentos destacados del encuentro.
Related market
83%
mentions Atl and Madrid, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-02
LaLiga·19h ago2 outletsThe Edmonton home where former Oilers owner Peter Pocklington was once held hostage will be auctioned to cover unpaid property taxes. The auction follows the city's move to recoup overdue taxes on the property.
Related market
28%
mentions Ukraine, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-16
BBC News·21h ago13 outletsBank of England Governor Andrew Bailey downplayed inflation concerns in a Bloomberg TV interview, saying the UK is not experiencing significant second-round inflation effects. This comes ahead of the BOE's next interest-rate decision on Sept. 17.
Related market
95%
mentions Bank of and England Governor Andrew Bailey, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-17
Bloomberg Television·1d ago3 outletsA spectacular strike was scored, with the video highlighting the goal. The clip showcases a remarkable finish in a football match.
Related market
91%
same event framing, resolves 2026-09-15
ESPN FC·18h ago3 outletsTrump announced a new Space Force Academy during a visit to NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston. The announcement came as he honored the Artemis II crew.
Related market
4%
strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-08
NBC News·1d ago15 outletsThe US war with Iran has dragged on for six months despite Trump's prediction it would be 'over quickly', with US military might held at bay by a smaller force. The video explains the conflict's status in three minutes.
Related market
10%
mentions Iran and Iran, same event framing, resolves 2026-09-15
Channel 4 News·1d ago7 outletsA Russian strike on an arms depot near Kyiv sparked fires and explosions, killing 38 people and wounding dozens, Ukrainian authorities said. The attack was the second to hit a munitions depot near the capital in less than two months.
Related market
19%
mentions Russian, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-15
NBC News·1d ago4 outletsLindsay Clancy's journal entries are being used by both prosecutors and the defense during her murder trial, with each side presenting different interpretations to the jury. NBC News' Misty Marris explains how the jury might interpret the writings.
Related market
34%
mentions Lindsay Clancy, strong text overlap
Channel 4 News·1d ago16 outletsESPN published a lighthearted video imagining four new hairstyles for tennis star Carlos Alcaraz. The video is a fun, non-news feature with no actual match or event outcome.
Related market
26%
mentions Carlos Alcaraz, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-13
ESPN·23h agoCanada is preparing to impose tariffs of up to 50% on American toilet paper and tissue stock, potentially increasing prices for US consumers.
Related market
11%
The news directly impacts the likelihood of a US-Canada agreement to lower tariffs, as Canada has imposed new tariffs on American goods.
Firstpost·2d agoFederal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation is not slowing meaningfully and reiterated the Fed's commitment to its 2% target. He warned that policymakers must be confident inflation is cooling, otherwise the central bank has 'work to do.'
Related market
4%
mentions Fed Chair Warsh, strong text overlap
Bloomberg Television·1d ago12 outletsUkraine has conducted strikes deep inside Russian territory, targeting a refinery in Yaroslavl and a missile-carrying aircraft in Engels, as part of retaliatory actions against Russian strikes.
Related market
8%
The news of Ukraine striking Russian targets deep inside Russia suggests increased military aggression, making a ceasefire agreement less likely by the specified deadline.
WION·1d agoThe leaders of Quebec's five main political parties launched their campaigns on Aug. 27, 2026.
Related market
19%
The news indicates the start of the Quebec election campaigns, which directly relates to the prediction markets about the election outcomes.
CTV News·1d ago2 outletsCrews recovered SpaceX's Starship from the Indian Ocean after its flight test. The recovery marks a milestone for the Starship program.
Related market
4%
mentions Starship, same event framing
NBC News·19h agoA Lebanese woman was killed and several others injured in Israeli strikes on the town of Arab Salim in southern Lebanon's Nabatieh district.
Related market
15%
The news of Israel conducting strikes in Lebanon after Hezbollah's drone attack directly impacts the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon in the near future.
Al Jazeera English·2d agoFed Chairman Kevin Warsh said at Jackson Hole that a quieter, more purposeful Fed is better able to achieve results. His speech focused on the Fed's communication approach.
Related market
4%
mentions Warsh and Fed, strong text overlap
CNBC Television·1d ago13 outlets
