OddsFeed — live news connected to prediction markets

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

October 3197%Yes No
September 3092%Yes No
September 1579%Yes No
September 975%Yes No

$630K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic95%Yes No
OpenAI3%Yes No
Google2%Yes No
SpaceXAI1%Yes No

$755K Vol.

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 202665%Yes No
October 31, 202664%Yes No
November 30, 202660%Yes No
September 30, 202648%Yes No

$1.7M Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Tencent19%Yes No
Hesai18%Yes No
YMTC18%Yes No
CATL18%Yes No

$216K Vol.

Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?

chance

Yes No

$209K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Alibaba98%Yes No
Moonshot2%Yes No
Z.ai0%Yes No
Tencent0%Yes No

$1.1M Vol.

#1 Searched Athlete on Google 2026?

Erling Braut Haaland40%Yes No
Alysa Liu17%Yes No
Lamine Yamal7%Yes No
Arch Manning6%Yes No

$61K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by September 3088%Yes No
September 305%Yes No
September 231%Yes No
September 71%Yes No

$44K Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Anthropic61%Yes No
SpaceX34%Yes No
OpenAI2%Yes No
ByteDance0%Yes No

$5.8M Vol.

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

October 3193%Yes No
September 3087%Yes No
September 1569%Yes No
August 312%Yes No

$413K Vol.

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 3088%Yes No
October 3174%Yes No
September 3024%Yes No
September 1523%Yes No

$316K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202624%Yes No
October 31, 20268%Yes No

$356K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 3173%Yes No
September 3014%Yes No
September 158%Yes No
August 312%Yes No

$1.2M Vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202768%Yes No
June 30, 202714%Yes No

$75K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%Yes No
1T–1.25T16%Yes No
1.25T–1.5T14%Yes No
No IPO by December 31, 20279%Yes No

$167K Vol.

GPU rental prices (A100) end of August?

$1.00-$1.2592%Yes No
$0.75-$1.005%Yes No
$1.25-$1.503%Yes No
$1.50+1%Yes No

$58K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic70%Yes No
OpenAI12%Yes No
Google9%Yes No
xAI7%Yes No

$847K Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14

October 3195%Yes No
Successful splash down?86%Yes No
Super Heavy booster explodes?85%Yes No
September 3082%Yes No

$420K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic63%Yes No
Z.ai11%Yes No
Alibaba8%Yes No
Thinky8%Yes No

$44K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of August?

$6.00-$6.5071%Yes No
$5.50-$6.0027%Yes No
<$5.502%Yes No
$6.50-$7.002%Yes No

$60K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in August?

5-769%Yes No
8-1030%Yes No
11-130%Yes No
14+0%Yes No

$50K Vol.

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Bad Bunny13%Yes No
Erling Haaland12%Yes No
Donald Trump8%Yes No
Sabrina Carpenter5%Yes No

$174K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Google90%Yes No
Alibaba6%Yes No
OpenAI3%Yes No
Anthropic2%Yes No

$37K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Anthropic79%Yes No
OpenAI14%Yes No
SpaceXAI1%Yes No
Meta1%Yes No

$59K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of September?

Anthropic88%Yes No
OpenAI6%Yes No
Google5%Yes No
Z.ai0%Yes No

$40K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+88%Yes No
60%+58%Yes No
65%+25%Yes No
70%+9%Yes No

$74K Vol.

Best AI model on August 31?

claude-opus-5-max94%Yes No
claude-opus-5-high5%Yes No
Other1%Yes No

$54K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of August?

$3.00-$3.2547%Yes No
$2.75-$3.0039%Yes No
$2.50-$2.757%Yes No
$3.25+3%Yes No

$40K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+75%Yes No
55%+44%Yes No
60%+25%Yes No
65%+14%Yes No

$57K Vol.

Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?

$1.75-$2.00T38%Yes No
$2.00-$2.25T23%Yes No
$1.50-$1.75T18%Yes No
$1.25-$1.50T14%Yes No

$10K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

54%

chance

Yes No

$49K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of August?

Moonshot94%Yes No
Alibaba3%Yes No
Google2%Yes No
Anthropic1%Yes No

$110K Vol.

GPU rental prices (A100) end of September?

$1.00-$1.2560%Yes No
$1.25-$1.5021%Yes No
$0.75-$1.0015%Yes No
$1.50+4%Yes No

$31K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202757%Yes No
March 31, 202754%Yes No
December 31, 202614%Yes No
September 30, 20261%Yes No

$2.9M Vol.

#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?

The Odyssey34%Yes No
Obsession21%Yes No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day17%Yes No
Avengers: Doomsday8%Yes No

$172K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba71%Yes No
Moonshot17%Yes No
Z.ai8%Yes No
DeepSeek1%Yes No

$137K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

13%

chance

Yes No

$14K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

Anthropic98%Yes No
Z.ai1%Yes No
DeepSeek1%Yes No
Nvidia1%Yes No

$29K Vol.

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Nicolás Maduro13%Yes No
Erling Haaland12%Yes No
Bad Bunny10%Yes No
Donald Trump7%Yes No

$129K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of September?

$4.00-$4.5028%Yes No
$4.50-$5.0025%Yes No
$5.00-$5.5020%Yes No
<$4.0014%Yes No

$28K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Z.ai96%Yes No
Moonshot2%Yes No
Alibaba1%Yes No
MiniMax0%Yes No

$67K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Alibaba51%Yes No
Moonshot35%Yes No
Anthropic8%Yes No
OpenAI5%Yes No

$33K Vol.

XRP Up or Down on August 30?

93%

chance

Yes No

$2.2K Vol.

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+94%Yes No
1480+89%Yes No
1490+78%Yes No
1500+54%Yes No

$15K Vol.

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

DeepSeek30%Yes No
Xiaomi14%Yes No
ByteDance14%Yes No

$81K Vol.

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+48%Yes No
60%+25%Yes No
65%+12%Yes No
70%+8%Yes No

$33K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 132%Yes No
September 7–September 1317%Yes No
September 28–October 415%Yes No
October 12–October 1813%Yes No

$32K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Anthropic79%Yes No
Moonshot9%Yes No
Alibaba5%Yes No
OpenAI4%Yes No

$55K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of August? (Style Control On)

Google93%Yes No
Moonshot4%Yes No
Meta3%Yes No
Nvidia0%Yes No

$65K Vol.

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$1.00-$1.2548%Yes No
$1.25-$1.5020%Yes No
$0.75-$1.0017%Yes No
$1.50+10%Yes No

$18K Vol.

Next Claude Opus released by...?

October 3196%Yes No
September 3087%Yes No
August 3111%Yes No
December 3198%Yes No

$44K Vol.

How many SpaceX launches in August 2026?

1389%Yes No
<135%Yes No
151%Yes No
141%Yes No

$7.4K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?

Moonshot95%Yes No
Z.ai4%Yes No
Alibaba2%Yes No
Tencent0%Yes No

$145K Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 31?

56%

chance

Yes No

$2.3K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google64%Yes No
ByteDance19%Yes No
Pixverse9%Yes No
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH8%Yes No

$30K Vol.

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<547%Yes No
5-645%Yes No
>162%Yes No
7-82%Yes No

$505K Vol.

Elon Musk Net Worth on August 31?

$800-$900B92%Yes No
$900B-$1.00T8%Yes No
$700-$800B2%Yes No
$600-$700B0%Yes No

$90K Vol.

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

August 3136%Yes No
September 120%Yes No
September 1213%Yes No
September 1513%Yes No

$12K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Moonshot48%Yes No
Anthropic8%Yes No

$31K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

October 3195%Yes No
September 3080%Yes No
September 1556%Yes No
August 311%Yes No

$8.5K Vol.

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