The US war with Iran has dragged on for six months despite Trump's prediction it would be 'over quickly', with US military might held at bay by a smaller force. The video explains the conflict's status in three minutes.
Related market
10%
mentions Iran and Iran, same event framing, resolves 2026-09-15
Channel 4 News·1d ago7 outletsBank of England Governor Andrew Bailey downplayed inflation concerns in a Bloomberg TV interview, saying the UK is not experiencing significant second-round inflation effects. This comes ahead of the BOE's next interest-rate decision on Sept. 17.
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95%
mentions Bank of and England Governor Andrew Bailey, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-17
Bloomberg Television·1d ago3 outletsA Russian strike on an arms depot near Kyiv sparked fires and explosions, killing 38 people and wounding dozens, Ukrainian authorities said. The attack was the second to hit a munitions depot near the capital in less than two months.
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19%
mentions Russian, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-15
NBC News·1d ago4 outletsA spectacular strike was scored, with the video highlighting the goal. The clip showcases a remarkable finish in a football match.
Related market
90%
same event framing, resolves 2026-09-15
ESPN FC·17h ago3 outletsLindsay Clancy's journal entries are being used by both prosecutors and the defense during her murder trial, with each side presenting different interpretations to the jury. NBC News' Misty Marris explains how the jury might interpret the writings.
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34%
mentions Lindsay Clancy, strong text overlap
Channel 4 News·1d ago16 outletsPresident Donald Trump announced in a Truth Social post that the U.S. has entered an agreement with Venezuela to take control of the country's 65 billion barrels of oil reserves.
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11%
mentions Trump and Venezuela, same event framing
NBC News·23h ago7 outletsESPN published a lighthearted video imagining four new hairstyles for tennis star Carlos Alcaraz. The video is a fun, non-news feature with no actual match or event outcome.
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26%
mentions Carlos Alcaraz, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-13
ESPN·22h agoCanada is preparing to impose tariffs of up to 50% on American toilet paper and tissue stock, potentially increasing prices for US consumers.
Related market
11%
The news directly impacts the likelihood of a US-Canada agreement to lower tariffs, as Canada has imposed new tariffs on American goods.
Firstpost·2d agoFederal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh said inflation is not slowing meaningfully and reiterated the Fed's commitment to its 2% target. He warned that policymakers must be confident inflation is cooling, otherwise the central bank has 'work to do.'
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4%
mentions Fed Chair Warsh, strong text overlap
Bloomberg Television·1d ago12 outletsPrime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir voted Saturday in Iceland's referendum on resuming EU membership talks. The tight race comes 13 years after Iceland paused its previous EU accession negotiations.
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2%
mentions Iceland and Iceland’s Prime Minister, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-08-29
Al Jazeera English·17h ago5 outletsDR Congo has begun vaccinating against its largest and deadliest Ebola outbreak, which has killed 2,786 of 5,795 confirmed cases since May. The vaccine is not proven effective against the Bundibugyo strain driving the outbreak.
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4%
News of Ebola vaccination in DR Congo directly bears on pandemic risk in 2026.
Al Jazeera English·20h ago3 outletsTrump announced a new Space Force Academy during a visit to NASA's Johnson Space Center in Houston. The announcement came as he honored the Artemis II crew.
Related market
5%
strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-08
NBC News·1d ago15 outletsThe Edmonton home where former Oilers owner Peter Pocklington was once held hostage will be auctioned to cover unpaid property taxes. The auction follows the city's move to recoup overdue taxes on the property.
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28%
mentions Ukraine, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-16
BBC News·20h ago13 outletsEl autor del segundo gol del Atlético de Madrid en el partido contra el Sevilla fue destacado en el video de LaLiga. El video muestra el gol y los momentos destacados del encuentro.
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81%
mentions Atl and Madrid, strong text overlap, resolves 2026-09-02
LaLiga·18h ago2 outletsUkraine has conducted strikes deep inside Russian territory, targeting a refinery in Yaroslavl and a missile-carrying aircraft in Engels, as part of retaliatory actions against Russian strikes.
Related market
8%
The news of Ukraine striking Russian targets deep inside Russia suggests increased military aggression, making a ceasefire agreement less likely by the specified deadline.
WION·1d agoUefa is preparing to bring criminal proceedings against Fifa president Gianni Infantino over his plan to sell a stake in the World Cup.
Related market
7%
The news directly relates to potential legal proceedings against Gianni Infantino, which could impact his position as FIFA President.
ITV News·2d agoThe leaders of Quebec's five main political parties launched their campaigns on Aug. 27, 2026.
Related market
18%
The news indicates the start of the Quebec election campaigns, which directly relates to the prediction markets about the election outcomes.
CTV News·1d ago2 outletsA Lebanese woman was killed and several others injured in Israeli strikes on the town of Arab Salim in southern Lebanon's Nabatieh district.
Related market
16%
The news of Israel conducting strikes in Lebanon after Hezbollah's drone attack directly impacts the likelihood of a diplomatic meeting between Israel and Lebanon in the near future.
Al Jazeera English·2d agoRelated market
52%
The news does not directly relate to any specific central bank meeting outcomes. However, the most relevant market is the one about the Fed's September 2026 meeting, as it is the next significant deadline for a major central bank.
Washington Post·2d ago
