Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%YesNo
  • Jon Ossoff16%YesNo
  • Gavin Newsom15%YesNo
  • Kamala Harris8%YesNo
$1.3B Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

  • JD Vance25%YesNo
  • Jon Ossoff11%YesNo
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%YesNo
  • Marco Rubio10%YesNo
$695.9M Vol.
56

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

  • J.D. Vance49%YesNo
  • Marco Rubio16%YesNo
  • Tucker Carlson3%YesNo
  • Ron DeSantis3%YesNo
$693.2M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

  • Abiy Ahmed97%YesNo
  • Gedion Timothewos1%YesNo
  • Berhanu Nega1%YesNo
  • Adanech Abiebie1%YesNo
$285.8M Vol.

F1 Drivers' Champion

  • Kimi Antonelli75%YesNo
  • Lando Norris8%YesNo
  • Lewis Hamilton6%YesNo
  • George Russell6%YesNo
$201.7M Vol.
62

Brazil Presidential Election

  • Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%YesNo
  • Flávio Bolsonaro41%YesNo
  • Renan Santos2%YesNo
  • Augusto Cury1%YesNo
$139.7M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

  • Marine Le Pen33%YesNo
  • Édouard Philippe26%YesNo
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%YesNo
  • Gabriel Attal4%YesNo
$123.7M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

  • Nicolás Maduro84%YesNo
  • Delcy Rodríguez10%YesNo
  • María Corina Machado2%YesNo
  • No Head of State1%YesNo
$95.9M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

  • December 316%YesNo
  • September 301%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$72.1M Vol.
71

Fed Decision in September?

  • No change52%YesNo
  • 25 bps increase48%YesNo
  • 25 bps decrease1%YesNo
  • 50+ bps increase1%YesNo
$66.7M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

  • December 314%YesNo
  • September 301%YesNo
$66.0M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

13%

chance

YesNo
$62.7M Vol.
57

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

  • ↓ 75,00083%YesNo
  • ↑ 85,00069%YesNo
  • ↓ 70,00061%YesNo
  • ↑ 90,00048%YesNo
$60.9M Vol.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

  • 0 (0 bps)88%YesNo
  • 1 (25 bps)9%YesNo
  • 2 (50 bps)3%YesNo
  • 3 (75 bps)1%YesNo
$50.2M Vol.

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

  • Los Angeles Rams16%YesNo
  • Buffalo Bills9%YesNo
  • Seattle Seahawks8%YesNo
  • Baltimore Ravens7%YesNo
$47.8M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

  • Xavier Becerra95%YesNo
  • Steve Hilton5%YesNo
  • Tom Steyer0%YesNo
  • Eleni Kounalakis0%YesNo
$40.9M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$40.4M Vol.

MLB World Series Champion 2026

  • Los Angeles Dodgers31%YesNo
  • Milwaukee Brewers13%YesNo
  • New York Yankees10%YesNo
  • Tampa Bay Rays7%YesNo
$39.9M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

  • Mojtaba Khamenei83%YesNo
  • No Head of State5%YesNo
  • Reza Pahlavi3%YesNo
  • Mahmoud Ahmadinejad2%YesNo
$39.0M Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%

chance

YesNo
$35.4M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

  • Gadi Eizenkot50%YesNo
  • Benjamin Netanyahu30%YesNo
  • Naftali Bennett8%YesNo
  • Avigdor Lieberman4%YesNo
$34.1M Vol.

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

  • Harry Kane65%YesNo
  • Lamine Yamal15%YesNo
  • Kylian Mbappé9%YesNo
  • Rodri7%YesNo
$31.5M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

  • December 316%YesNo
  • September 301%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$29.2M Vol.

F1 Constructors' Champion

  • Mercedes90%YesNo
  • Ferrari10%YesNo
  • McLaren1%YesNo
  • Red Bull Racing0%YesNo
$28.6M Vol.

Israel closes its airspace by...?

  • September 306%YesNo
  • August 311%YesNo
$27.5M Vol.

When will Bitcoin hit $150k?

  • by September 30, 202720%YesNo
  • by December 31, 202718%YesNo
  • by June 30, 202716%YesNo
  • by March 31, 202710%YesNo
$27.2M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

  • September 3091%YesNo
  • October 3184%YesNo
  • November 3079%YesNo
  • December 3174%YesNo
$26.5M Vol.
93

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

  • ↑ 80,00047%YesNo
  • ↓ 77,50034%YesNo
  • ↑ 82,5007%YesNo
  • ↓ 75,0004%YesNo
$26.5M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%

chance

YesNo
$25.3M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

  • June 30, 202725%YesNo
  • December 3116%YesNo
  • November 3010%YesNo
  • October 316%YesNo
$24.3M Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

  • Yulia Navalnaya8%YesNo
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%YesNo
  • UNRWA4%YesNo
  • Pope Leo XIV3%YesNo
$23.6M Vol.
59

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

  • United Russia (ER)73%YesNo
  • New People (NL)22%YesNo
  • Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%YesNo
  • Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)1%YesNo
$23.3M Vol.
64

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

  • December 3159%YesNo
  • October 3139%YesNo
  • September 3022%YesNo
  • September 2114%YesNo
$23.2M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

  • June 30, 202714%YesNo
  • December 31, 20268%YesNo
  • September 30, 20262%YesNo
  • August 31, 20260%YesNo
$22.2M Vol.

MLS Cup Winner 2026

  • Inter Miami CF20%YesNo
  • Vancouver Whitecaps FC17%YesNo
  • Nashville SC16%YesNo
  • Los Angeles FC10%YesNo
$19.8M Vol.

NBA: 2027 Champion

  • Oklahoma City Thunder22%YesNo
  • San Antonio Spurs21%YesNo
  • Philadelphia 76ers13%YesNo
  • New York Knicks12%YesNo
$19.4M Vol.
59

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

  • Barcelona18%YesNo
  • Arsenal16%YesNo
  • Bayern Munich14%YesNo
  • Paris Saint-Germain14%YesNo
$19.0M Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

  • MGM Resorts34%YesNo
  • Viking Therapeutics18%YesNo
  • Lovable16%YesNo
  • Brown-Forman14%YesNo
$18.2M Vol.

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$18.0M Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

  • December 317%YesNo
  • October 312%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$17.8M Vol.

Highest grossing movie in 2026?

  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day93%YesNo
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%YesNo
  • Dune: Messiah0%YesNo
  • The Super Mario Galaxy Movie0%YesNo
$17.3M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

  • December 3111%YesNo
  • November 306%YesNo
  • October 313%YesNo
  • September 301%YesNo
$16.8M Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

  • Karen Bass65%YesNo
  • Nithya Raman35%YesNo
$13.5M Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

4%

chance

YesNo
$12.8M Vol.

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

  • ↓ 2,25076%YesNo
  • ↑ 2,75072%YesNo
  • ↑ 3,00050%YesNo
  • ↓ 2,00045%YesNo
$12.8M Vol.
59

2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

  • Carlos Alcaraz26%YesNo
  • Alexander Zverev23%YesNo
  • Novak Djokovic10%YesNo
  • Taylor Fritz8%YesNo
$12.1M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

  • December 3116%YesNo
  • October 3111%YesNo
  • September 305%YesNo
  • September 152%YesNo
$11.8M Vol.
57

EPL: 2027 Champion

  • Arsenal50%YesNo
  • Manchester City23%YesNo
  • Chelsea16%YesNo
  • Liverpool7%YesNo
$11.5M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

14%

chance

YesNo
$11.4M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

7%

chance

YesNo
$11.2M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

  • Democrats Sweep50%YesNo
  • R Senate, D House36%YesNo
  • Republicans Sweep12%YesNo
  • D Senate, R House1%YesNo
$10.7M Vol.
79

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?

  • ↑ $8524%YesNo
  • ↓ $8016%YesNo
  • ↑ $901%YesNo
  • ↓ $751%YesNo
$10.7M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7%

chance

YesNo
$10.6M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

  • March 31, 202762%YesNo
  • December 31, 202643%YesNo
  • September 30, 202614%YesNo
  • August 31, 20260%YesNo
$10.6M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

31%

chance

YesNo
$10.0M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

  • Democratic Party89%YesNo
  • Republican Party11%YesNo
$9.9M Vol.

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

  • December 31, 20269%YesNo
  • September 30, 20262%YesNo
$9.8M Vol.

Iran full airspace closure by...?

  • December 3117%YesNo
  • September 306%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$8.7M Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

  • December 318%YesNo
  • September 302%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$8.4M Vol.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

66%

chance

YesNo
$8.1M Vol.
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