64

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

  • December 3159%YesNo
  • October 3139%YesNo
  • September 3022%YesNo
  • September 2114%YesNo
$23.2M Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise in August?

  • Jon Rahm43%YesNo
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy41%YesNo
  • Bryson DeChambeau39%YesNo
  • Emmanuel Macron39%YesNo
$156K Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

13%

chance

YesNo
$636K Vol.

Who will Trump speak to in September?

  • Xi Jinping96%YesNo
  • Andy Burnham92%YesNo
  • Mohammed bin Salman78%YesNo
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy72%YesNo
$76K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

7%

chance

YesNo
$11.2M Vol.

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

  • Stephen Lynch83%YesNo
  • Patrick Roath19%YesNo
  • Andrew Zylberfink0%YesNo
$94K Vol.

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

  • December 3197%YesNo
  • October 3193%YesNo
  • September 3091%YesNo
  • September 150%YesNo
$804K Vol.

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

  • December 3128%YesNo
  • October 3115%YesNo
$62K Vol.

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

  • September 3013%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$325K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

  • No meeting before 202792%YesNo
  • Turkey1%YesNo
  • China1%YesNo
  • Switzerland1%YesNo
$3.2M Vol.

U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

  • October 3165%YesNo
  • September 3045%YesNo
  • August 3111%YesNo
$42K Vol.

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

  • August 3191%YesNo
  • August 30100%YesNo
$1.1M Vol.

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

  • December 3113%YesNo
  • August 311%YesNo
$282K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

6%

chance

YesNo
$45K Vol.

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

3%

chance

YesNo
$147K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

96%

chance

YesNo
$377K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

9%

chance

YesNo
$92K Vol.

When will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?

  • September 3050%YesNo
  • September 1115%YesNo
  • September 46%YesNo
$150K Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

13%

chance

YesNo
$1.5M Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

  • December 3147%YesNo
  • September 306%YesNo
$197K Vol.

How many UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

  • 286%YesNo
  • 314%YesNo
  • 4+2%YesNo
$120K Vol.

Will Netanyahu visit New York City by...?

  • December 3197%YesNo
  • September 3096%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$385K Vol.

Ukraine election called by...?

  • December 31, 202611%YesNo
  • August 31, 20260%YesNo
$1.8M Vol.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

44%

chance

YesNo
$314K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

  • Mohammed bin Salman78%YesNo
  • Vladimir Putin48%YesNo
  • Kim Jong Un24%YesNo
  • Aleksandr Lukashenko23%YesNo
$956K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

  • September 3089%YesNo
  • September 1581%YesNo
  • August 312%YesNo
$22K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

  • J.D. Vance54%YesNo
  • Marco Rubio22%YesNo
  • Donald Trump Jr.7%YesNo
  • Eric Trump5%YesNo
$13K Vol.

Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?

  • Anna Kelly22%YesNo
  • Scott Jennings19%YesNo
  • Katie Miller16%YesNo
  • Margo Martin13%YesNo
$190K Vol.

Next Regional Board Chair of Norrbotten?

91%

chance

YesNo
$8.5K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

5%

chance

YesNo
$14K Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

7%

chance

YesNo
$36K Vol.
63

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

  • Mike Lee53%YesNo
  • Rand Paul49%YesNo
  • Thom Tillis47%YesNo
  • Ruben Gallego35%YesNo
$52K Vol.

Morocco Legislative Elections: Party Winner

38%

chance

YesNo
$37K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in September?

  • Xi Jinping94%YesNo
  • Andy Burnham92%YesNo
  • Volodymyr Zelenskyy65%YesNo
  • Mark Carney49%YesNo
$48K Vol.

Russia nuclear test by...?

  • December 31, 20267%YesNo
  • September 30, 20262%YesNo
$6.2M Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

  • J.D. Vance89%YesNo
  • Pete Buttigieg86%YesNo
  • Gavin Newsom83%YesNo
  • Ted Cruz79%YesNo
$60K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

8%

chance

YesNo
$47K Vol.
71

Who will Trump speak to in August?

  • Friedrich Merz32%YesNo
  • Ursula von der Leyen30%YesNo
  • Emmanuel Macron24%YesNo
  • Mark Rutte11%YesNo
$85K Vol.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

  • Russell Vought32%YesNo
  • Howard Lutnick29%YesNo
  • Tom Homan27%YesNo
  • Dan Scavino26%YesNo
$1.4M Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

16%

chance

YesNo
$192K Vol.

MA-01 Democratic Primary Winner

  • Richard Neal92%YesNo
  • Jeromie Whalen7%YesNo
$65K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

  • DEFIANCE Act13%YesNo
  • FISA Section 702 reauthorization11%YesNo
  • Credit-card routing competition10%YesNo
  • SELF DRIVE Act7%YesNo
$158K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%

chance

YesNo
$35.4M Vol.
64

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

  • Bernie Sanders20%YesNo
  • Cory Booker19%YesNo
  • Mark Kelly17%YesNo
  • Kamala Harris14%YesNo
$12K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

75%

chance

YesNo
$74K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

7%

chance

YesNo
$263K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

  • Germany31%YesNo
  • Portugal21%YesNo
  • Saudi Arabia21%YesNo
  • Japan19%YesNo
$628K Vol.

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

  • December 3152%YesNo
  • September 303%YesNo
$93K Vol.
69

Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

  • Zohran Mamdani44%YesNo
  • Kaitlan Collins23%YesNo
  • Jimmy Kimmel21%YesNo
  • Candace Owens11%YesNo
$64K Vol.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

  • Donald Brodie30%YesNo
  • Ryan Salame24%YesNo
  • Stefan Brodie23%YesNo
  • Roger Stone21%YesNo
$436K Vol.

Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner

4%

chance

YesNo
$4.0K Vol.

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

10%

chance

YesNo
$33K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

46%

chance

YesNo
$186K Vol.

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

89%

chance

YesNo
$240K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

23%

chance

YesNo
$363K Vol.

Trujillo Mayoral Election Winner

37%

chance

YesNo
$24K Vol.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

  • June 30, 202736%YesNo
  • December 316%YesNo
  • September 301%YesNo
$3.6M Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

  • December 3127%YesNo
  • September 3011%YesNo
  • August 310%YesNo
$6.4M Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

92%

chance

YesNo
$107K Vol.

SBF released from custody in 2026?

4%

chance

YesNo
$450K Vol.
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