Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
OpenWorldEnds Jan 1, 2027
- 24h change
- ▼ 1.0
- Volume
- $62.7M
- 24h volume
- $49K
- Liquidity
- $963K
- Best bid
- 12¢
- Best ask
- 13¢
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Last trade
- 12¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.