Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
OpenGeopoliticsEnds Jan 1, 2027
- 24h change
- ▲ 1.0
- Volume
- $3.3M
- 24h volume
- $3.1K
- Liquidity
- $76K
- Best bid
- 7¢
- Best ask
- 8¢
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Last trade
- 7¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.