Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
OpenCryptoEnds Jan 1, 2027
- 24h change
- —
- Volume
- $4.9M
- 24h volume
- $86.64
- Liquidity
- $90K
- Best bid
- 4.5¢
- Best ask
- 4.6¢
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Last trade
- 4.5¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.