Fed rate hike in 2026?
- 24h change
- ▼ 1.0
- Volume
- $8.1M
- 24h volume
- $17K
- Liquidity
- $117K
- Best bid
- 65¢
- Best ask
- 66¢
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Last trade
- 66¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.