Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- 24h change
- —
- Volume
- $429K
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $106K
- Best bid
- 8¢
- Best ask
- 9¢
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Last trade
- 7¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.