How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

Viewing 5-6

OpenTechnologyEnds Dec 31
24h change
Volume
$116K
24h volume
$35
Liquidity
$3.0K
Best bid
39¢
Best ask
47¢
Spread
8.0¢
Last trade
43¢
Quote age
Updating live

Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.

    Outcomes

    4 in this event

    Resolution criteria

    This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    View this market on Polymarket

    Discussion