GPT-6 released by…?

Viewing December 31, 2026

OpenTechnologyEnds Jan 1, 2027
24h change
3.5
Volume
$171K
24h volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$13K
Best bid
70¢
Best ask
72¢
Spread
2.0¢
Last trade
71¢
Quote age
Updating live

Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.

    Outcomes

    6 in this event

    Resolution criteria

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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