Fed rate cut by...?

Viewing October Meeting

OpenEconomyEnds Nov 8
24h change
—
Volume
$122K
24h volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$129K
Best bid
3.7¢
Best ask
4.3¢
Spread
0.6¢
Last trade
4.3¢
Quote age
Updating live

Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.

    Outcomes

    3 in this event

    Resolution criteria

    This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for October 2026, currently scheduled for October 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no October meeting takes place by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

    View this market on Polymarket

    Discussion