Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)
Viewing Takaichi - Japan PM
- 24h change
- ▲ 0.1
- Volume
- $4.9K
- 24h volume
- $369
- Liquidity
- $15K
- Best bid
- 0.2¢
- Best ask
- 0.3¢
- Spread
- 0.1¢
- Last trade
- 0.2¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Outcomes
22 in this event- Netanyahu - Israel PM43%Yes42.5¢No57.5¢
- None before 202727%Yes26.5¢No73.5¢
- Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President8%Yes7.8¢No92.3¢
- Díaz-Canel - Cuba President4%Yes4¢No96¢
- Zelenskyy - Ukraine President2%Yes1.8¢No98.2¢
- Sánchez - Spanish PM2%Yes1.6¢No98.5¢
- Lula da Silva - Brazil President1%Yes1.4¢No98.7¢
- Trump - USA President1%Yes1.4¢No98.7¢
- Xi - General Secretary of the CCP1%Yes1.4¢No98.7¢
- Merz - German Chancellor1%Yes0.9¢No99.2¢
- Macron - France President1%Yes0.7¢No99.4¢
- Erdoğan - Türkiye President1%Yes0.7¢No99.4¢
- Lecornu - France PM1%Yes0.7¢No99.4¢
- Putin - Russia President1%Yes0.6¢No99.4¢
- Newsom - California Governor1%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- Abbas - President of Palestine1%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- Takaichi - Japan PM0%Yes0.4¢No99.7¢
- Sheinbaum - Mexico President0%Yes0.3¢No99.7¢
- Albanese - Australia PM0%Yes0.3¢No99.8¢
- al-Sharaa - Syria President0%Yes0.3¢No99.8¢
- Milei - Argentina President0%Yes0.3¢No99.8¢
- Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea0%Yes0.3¢No99.8¢
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.