
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
Viewing September 26
- 24h change
- ▼ 0.1
- Volume
- $300
- 24h volume
- $137
- Liquidity
- $2.9K
- Best bid
- 0.2¢
- Best ask
- 0.9¢
- Spread
- 0.7¢
- Last trade
- 0.2¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Outcomes
31 in this event- No release by September 3087%Yes87¢No13¢
- September 305%Yes5.3¢No94.8¢
- September 283%Yes2.5¢No97.5¢
- September 231%Yes1.2¢No98.8¢
- September 291%Yes1.1¢No98.9¢
- September 71%Yes1.1¢No98.9¢
- September 21%Yes0.6¢No99.4¢
- September 171%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 271%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 191%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 41%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 211%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 261%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 161%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 251%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 51%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 151%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 31%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 111%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 121%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 201%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 241%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 221%Yes0.5¢No99.5¢
- September 60%Yes0.4¢No99.6¢
- On or prior to September 10%Yes0.3¢No99.7¢
- September 100%Yes0.3¢No99.7¢
- September 80%Yes0.3¢No99.7¢
- September 90%Yes0.3¢No99.7¢
- September 140%Yes0.3¢No99.8¢
- September 130%Yes0.3¢No99.8¢
- September 180%Yes0.2¢No99.8¢
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.