Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Viewing October 31, 2026

OpenTechnologyEnds Nov 1
24h change
—
Volume
$74K
24h volume
$396
Liquidity
$19K
Best bid
7¢
Best ask
8¢
Spread
1.0¢
Last trade
8¢
Quote age
Updating live

Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.

    Outcomes

    2 in this event

    Resolution criteria

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

    View this market on Polymarket

    Discussion