Where will it rain on August 30?
Viewing Phoenix, AZ
- 24h change
- ▲ 2.0
- Volume
- $180
- 24h volume
- $180
- Liquidity
- $7.22
- Best bid
- 4¢
- Best ask
- 99¢
- Spread
- 95.0¢
- Last trade
- 59¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Very wide spread (95¢). The quoted price sits between two far-apart orders and is not a price you could trade at.
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Outcomes
15 in this event- Chicago, IL100%Yes99.7¢No0.4¢
- Philadelphia, PA69%Yes69¢No31¢
- New York, NY62%Yes62¢No38¢
- Miami, FL56%Yes55.5¢No44.5¢
- Boston, MA55%Yes55¢No45¢
- Washington, DC54%Yes54¢No46¢
- Phoenix, AZ52%Yes51.5¢No48.5¢
- Atlanta, GA51%Yes50.5¢No49.5¢
- New Orleans, LA51%Yes50.5¢No49.5¢
- Denver, CO48%Yes47.5¢No52.5¢
- Houston, TX17%Yes17.1¢No82.9¢
- Seattle, WA6%Yes5.5¢No94.5¢
- Dallas, TX4%Yes4.5¢No95.5¢
- San Francisco, CA3%Yes3¢No97¢
- Los Angeles, CA2%Yes2.1¢No97.9¢
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Phoenix, AZ records measurable precipitation on August 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KPHX: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KPHX, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=PHX.
Primary source: forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issued