Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

Viewing October 31

OpenTechnologyEnds Nov 1
24h change
Volume
$4.7K
24h volume
$146
Liquidity
$1.9K
Best bid
72¢
Best ask
73¢
Spread
1.0¢
Last trade
72¢
Quote age
Updating live

Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.

    Outcomes

    4 in this event

    Resolution criteria

    This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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    Discussion