Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Viewing Elon Musk
- 24h change
- —
- Volume
- $1.3K
- 24h volume
- $0
- Liquidity
- $9.8K
- Best bid
- 19¢
- Best ask
- 20¢
- Spread
- 1.0¢
- Last trade
- 25¢
- Quote age
- Updating live
Chart combines Polymarket's published price history with live book midpoints and may be incomplete or inconsistent. Not a record of executed trades.
Outcomes
24 in this event- J.D. Vance89%Yes89¢No11¢
- Pete Buttigieg86%Yes86¢No14¢
- Gavin Newsom83%Yes82.5¢No17.5¢
- Ted Cruz79%Yes79¢No21¢
- Kamala Harris73%Yes73¢No27¢
- Andrew Yang65%Yes64.5¢No35.5¢
- Mark Kelly64%Yes63.5¢No36.5¢
- Jon Ossoff62%Yes61.5¢No38.5¢
- Wes Moore60%Yes59.5¢No40.5¢
- Glenn Youngkin27%Yes26.5¢No73.5¢
- Greg Abbott26%Yes26¢No74¢
- Elon Musk20%Yes19.5¢No80.5¢
- Stephen A. Smith19%Yes18.5¢No81.5¢
- Donald Trump Jr.18%Yes17.5¢No82.5¢
- Mark Cuban17%Yes17¢No83¢
- Bernie Sanders16%Yes16¢No84¢
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16%Yes15.5¢No84.5¢
- Michelle Obama16%Yes15.5¢No84.5¢
- John Thune15%Yes15¢No85¢
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.15%Yes15¢No85¢
- Tim Walz12%Yes11.8¢No88.3¢
- Erika Kirk10%Yes9.5¢No90.5¢
- Hillary Clinton7%Yes6.5¢No93.5¢
- Barack Obama2%Yes2.4¢No97.6¢
Resolution criteria
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.